TCGA-OT Open Challenge · 46 × 1 breadth test

46 Cancer Classes.
46/46 Tail Runaway.

46 different pathological identities. 46 different nuclear-state spectra. One convergent feature observed in every tested class: Tail Runaway.

No exception found so far.
This is an observation, not a claim that exceptions do not exist.
Try to find one Inspect the data
46
TCGA-OT cancer classes tested
46
Frozen diagnostic WSIs
460k
Nuclei measured (10,000 / WSI)
0
Exceptions found so far
Background

TCGA-OT was built to distinguish 46 cancer classes.

TCGA-OncoTree (TCGA-OT) is a public pan-cancer slide-level classification task introduced with TITAN. It contains 11,186 H&E FFPE diagnostic whole-slide images from TCGA, classified into 46 OncoTree classes, with at least 50 samples per class.

The TCGA-OT / TITAN question
How can these 46 cancer classes be distinguished?
Our question
What do all 46 share at the nuclear-state spectral level?
Result of this 46×1 experiment: one frozen WSI from each class was measured with the same pipeline. All 46 showed Tail Runaway.
Measurement

The spectrum is measured, not seen by eye.

Pathology morphology is visible. The nuclear-state spectrum is a quantitative measurement derived from large ensembles of nuclei.

Public diagnostic SVS
10,000 nuclei
RSi + nuclear measurements
RSi distribution / nuclear-state spectrum
Tail readout

No cancer-type-specific model was trained for this 46-class readout.

46 spectra

Different spectra. Same observed tail regime.

The detailed RSi distributions differ in peak height, peak position and shape. Yet the high-state tail remains open in every tested class.

RSi distributions across 46 TCGA-OT cancer classes
Exploratory overlay of RSi distributions from the 46 frozen WSIs. One WSI per TCGA-OT class; 10,000 nuclei per WSI.
Exploratory fine structure

A 2D nuclear-state spectral peak map.

Tail Runaway is the shared coarse feature. The spectra themselves are not identical. Peak position and normalized peak height place the 46 representative WSIs at different locations in an exploratory spectral map.

Nuclear-state spectral peak map across 46 TCGA-OT classes
Exploratory 46×1 peak map. This figure is not a cancer-type population validation; repeated WSIs per class are required to estimate within-class spectral territories.
Open data

Do not trust our plots. Rebuild them.

The exact 46-slide selection is frozen and traceable to GDC file IDs. The goal is to make the observation independently inspectable from the raw public WSI level down to the per-nucleus measurements.

Frozen 46-slide manifest
OncoTree class, TCGA project, case ID, exact SVS filename, GDC file ID and pre-analysis selection rule.
46 individual nucleus CSV files
10,000 nucleus measurements per tested WSI. Download only the cancer class you want to inspect.
Choose a CSV
Free NucleoScope app
Start again from the original public SVS rather than relying on our processed CSVs.
Download free app

CSV files are expected directly under /tcga-ot/data/. Each table row links to its matching *_NucleusDecoder.csv file.

Frozen selection

46 classes. 46 exact public WSIs.

The selection rule was fixed before the Tail results were known. No NucleoScope/Tail result was used to select a slide, and no slide was replaced after its Tail result was known. The table below uses the exact GDC-resolvable manifest supplied with this experiment. fileciteturn36file0L10-L56

#OncoTreeSiteTCGA projectCaseExact SVSOriginal WSINucleus CSVObserved
1 CESC Cervix TCGA-CESC TCGA-DG-A2KK TCGA-DG-A2KK-01Z-00-DX1.248D92C3-AD5B-4F3C-AE5C-6F8C70C7AE87.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
2 THFO Thyroid TCGA-THCA TCGA-EM-A3O8 TCGA-EM-A3O8-01Z-00-DX1.B164A20B-7433-420A-B947-C78CEB49B7D2.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
3 THYM Thymus TCGA-THYM TCGA-ZB-A96B TCGA-ZB-A96B-01Z-00-DX1.1F7C775D-4468-47FB-AF46-80C5C42D8A4F.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
4 PHC Adrenal Gland TCGA-PCPG TCGA-QT-A5XJ TCGA-QT-A5XJ-01Z-00-DX1.496EBB8D-BC20-4FDD-877F-AF7CCD9B3C3A.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
5 THPA Thyroid TCGA-THCA TCGA-ET-A39O TCGA-ET-A39O-01Z-00-DX1.8036EEAA-916A-48F0-A47E-7A4EDFD5066B.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
6 STAD Stomach TCGA-STAD TCGA-VQ-AA6A TCGA-VQ-AA6A-01Z-00-DX1.52D958F4-34B3-43F1-9DAC-960E69C958CA.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
7 LUAD Lung TCGA-LUAD TCGA-MP-A4T6 TCGA-MP-A4T6-01Z-00-DX1.085C4F5A-DB1B-434A-9D62-E2187D133B0A.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
8 ESCC Stomach TCGA-ESCA TCGA-VR-A8EU TCGA-VR-A8EU-01Z-00-DX1.EB679D42-1505-4220-83BD-0D5B51F42EE6.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
9 HCC Liver TCGA-LIHC TCGA-EP-A2KC TCGA-EP-A2KC-01Z-00-DX1.A0D71E19-4C44-495E-8FDB-B12915212875.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
10 BLCA Bladder TCGA-BLCA TCGA-4Z-AA7O TCGA-4Z-AA7O-01Z-00-DX1.A45C32E8-AA40-4182-8A6F-986DFE56A748.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
11 LMS Uterus TCGA-SARC TCGA-HB-A43Z TCGA-HB-A43Z-01Z-00-DX1.98C2BA27-DAD1-4290-B4AC-A2270E829FC1.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
12 ESCA Stomach TCGA-ESCA TCGA-JY-A93D TCGA-JY-A93D-01Z-00-DX1.14D17584-237D-4197-AC50-F8293D576445.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
13 HNSC Head Neck TCGA-HNSC TCGA-BB-4225 TCGA-BB-4225-01Z-00-DX1.cfce62af-e565-4673-9970-afd08767b062.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
14 COAD Bowel TCGA-COAD TCGA-A6-3808 TCGA-A6-3808-01Z-00-DX1.2b5a7ba3-133c-48be-87c6-199c4af208a0.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
15 LUSC Lung TCGA-LUSC TCGA-43-7657 TCGA-43-7657-01Z-00-DX1.d8a5d257-c5ca-4192-b6a7-4698b8390fca.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
16 IDC Breast TCGA-BRCA TCGA-A7-A26I TCGA-A7-A26I-01Z-00-DX1.0077D012-BC14-4E96-84F7-A1A6A3A778DF.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
17 CHRCC Kidney TCGA-KICH TCGA-UW-A72N TCGA-UW-A72N-01Z-00-DX1.458F977B-AA32-4073-BDC6-FCAD44C6B83D.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
18 PAAD Pancreas TCGA-PAAD TCGA-XD-AAUH TCGA-XD-AAUH-01Z-00-DX1.AB1476D1-15FD-44A2-ADF6-E6BC13EE5857.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
19 PRCC Kidney TCGA-KIRP TCGA-IA-A40X TCGA-IA-A40X-01Z-00-DX1.AE832D8E-57E9-466C-B9BA-D71851219986.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
20 ODG Brain TCGA-LGG TCGA-IK-7675 TCGA-IK-7675-01Z-00-DX1.1afabdc4-ee6b-4a8a-8f9f-2bdead91ee76.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
21 UM Eye TCGA-UVM TCGA-V4-A9EX TCGA-V4-A9EX-01Z-00-DX1.34B99C00-621F-49DF-88B3-20E70EB53637.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
22 UEC Uterus TCGA-UCEC TCGA-EY-A1GX TCGA-EY-A1GX-01Z-00-DX1.3A4A5506-8F32-4238-B404-439CC153D106.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
23 TSTAD Stomach TCGA-STAD TCGA-VQ-A91S TCGA-VQ-A91S-01Z-00-DX1.11BCF3BE-4C79-4F6F-92B5-2C45190DBD86.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
24 AASTR Brain TCGA-LGG TCGA-CS-6290 TCGA-CS-6290-01Z-00-DX1.34c1d579-aeba-4aa2-b0c5-0b04fb16d7a4.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
25 GBM Brain TCGA-GBM TCGA-41-4097 TCGA-41-4097-01Z-00-DX1.9d34ecf6-35db-4b8f-b7f8-f5ae4183a49c.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
26 READ Bowel TCGA-READ TCGA-AF-4110 TCGA-AF-4110-01Z-00-DX1.cb8de1f0-0b38-4271-af5f-33655693e35e.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
27 MFH Kidney TCGA-SARC TCGA-HB-A3YV TCGA-HB-A3YV-01Z-00-DX1.47379DF7-1A3B-46B5-AB2E-F7E6516345E9.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
28 MACR Bowel TCGA-COAD TCGA-A6-A566 TCGA-A6-A566-01Z-00-DX1.325BC1B7-2D0D-43CC-A23B-7D13B2DF665D.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
29 OAST Brain TCGA-LGG TCGA-KT-A74X TCGA-KT-A74X-01Z-00-DX2.9CF10646-A8BA-44B7-B099-423861E84494.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
30 PRAD Prostate TCGA-PRAD TCGA-QU-A6IN TCGA-QU-A6IN-01Z-00-DX1.B6E9CA11-BDB2-4F7F-B900-DFE8A4531138.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
31 ASTR Brain TCGA-LGG TCGA-CS-4938 TCGA-CS-4938-01Z-00-DX1.6660D726-8524-424A-B6E8-D97FFD9BCE01.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
32 MEL Skin TCGA-SKCM TCGA-FR-A7UA TCGA-FR-A7UA-01Z-00-DX1.9BF4783D-9277-485D-A46E-AC317E186B3C.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
33 ILC Breast TCGA-BRCA TCGA-A7-A4SA TCGA-A7-A4SA-01Z-00-DX1.B48FFD3E-9B45-4CEA-ACEE-5B08058CCF5F.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
34 MFS Soft Tissue TCGA-SARC TCGA-LI-A67I TCGA-LI-A67I-01Z-00-DX5.5B9F364C-10F0-4437-B66C-468ABD2E6D3D.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
35 ACC Adrenal Gland TCGA-ACC TCGA-PK-A5HB TCGA-PK-A5HB-01Z-00-DX1.B51AC518-872A-462B-B4AB-EA2876CB5FAF.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
36 UCS Uterus TCGA-UCS TCGA-N8-A4PN TCGA-N8-A4PN-01Z-00-DX2.5E54DCF8-7D21-4A35-B8DF-2AFA88424478.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
37 USC Uterus TCGA-UCEC TCGA-BK-A26L TCGA-BK-A26L-01Z-00-DX1.0D83E5C4-42EA-45C9-960D-C08F47E18D7A.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
38 HGSOC Ovary TCGA-OV TCGA-42-2590 TCGA-42-2590-01Z-00-DX1.83ff5df9-0f36-4884-a93e-f2928ff3c719.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
39 DDLS Soft Tissue TCGA-SARC TCGA-SG-A6Z7 TCGA-SG-A6Z7-01Z-00-DX1.1C500200-81CA-46DB-8D97-EC94247B8D83.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
40 NSGCT Testis TCGA-TGCT TCGA-W4-A7U3 TCGA-W4-A7U3-01A-01-TS1.290CF137-12AE-48E4-B1F5-5CF2B21B315B.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
41 CCRCC Kidney TCGA-KIRC TCGA-B2-3924 TCGA-B2-3924-01Z-00-DX1.751b1107-fa18-4df5-89ae-42d06caf9b74.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
42 AOAST Brain TCGA-LGG TCGA-CS-6670 TCGA-CS-6670-01Z-00-DX1.A767AC46-DA02-41C6-8829-AE53DB0F386E.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
43 SKCM Skin TCGA-SKCM TCGA-HR-A5NC TCGA-HR-A5NC-01Z-00-DX1.F8577EB3-C670-4DDB-9EDD-B8681CE2D664.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
44 DSTAD Stomach TCGA-STAD TCGA-VQ-A94T TCGA-VQ-A94T-01Z-00-DX1.DEFEFBD0-CE26-4F75-B9C4-F55344A7CAA8.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
45 SEM Testis TCGA-TGCT TCGA-YU-A90W TCGA-YU-A90W-01A-01-TSA.E545672A-A7A1-4509-82D2-FE07034ACB72.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
46 PLEMESO Pleura TCGA-MESO TCGA-YS-A95B TCGA-YS-A95B-01Z-00-DX1.95D754B0-A70F-478E-AE2B-5663A4DD0CF2.svs GDC file Download CSV Tail Runaway
Open falsification challenge

Can you find one?

Choose another TCGA-OT cancer WSI yourself. Use the same measurement. Find a reproducible Tail-Closed cancer spectrum.

0
exceptions found so far in the current 46×1 frozen test

One reproducible counterexample matters. We are not claiming that no exception exists. We are reporting that no exception has been found in this test so far.

How to challenge it

Use your own slide selection.

1. Choose a TCGA-OT cancer class
2. Pick another diagnostic TCGA WSI
3. Download the original SVS from GDC
4. Measure 10,000 nuclei
5. Inspect the Tail
Challenge target: a cancer WSI whose nuclear-state spectrum is reproducibly Tail Closed under the same predefined measurement/readout.
Original sources

Public source data.

  • TCGA-OT / TITAN: Nature Medicine describes TCGA-OT as a 46-class slide-level pan-cancer classification task containing 11,186 H&E FFPE diagnostic WSIs from TCGA. Nature Medicine paper.
  • NCI Genomic Data Commons: TCGA slide images can be viewed and downloaded in their original SVS format, and are accessible through the GDC API. GDC Data Portal information.
  • Exact experiment manifest: the 46-class frozen manifest on this page records the exact GDC file IDs and selection rule used for this 46×1 observation.
Research-use statement. This page reports an exploratory 46×1 breadth observation, not clinical diagnostic performance and not a population-level sensitivity/specificity estimate. “No exception found so far” means only that no Tail-Closed exception was observed among the 46 frozen WSIs tested here. It does not assert that exceptions do not exist.